CapitalistMarks

India’s growing economy.

Posted on 03. Sep, 2009 by scott in Social commentary, economic daydreaming

India seems much in the news lately.  Primarily for its enduring disagreements with Pakistan . . . but also because it is one of the BRIC nations and has a growing and (at least on a historical perspective) vibrant economy.

It could be that the above God, Ganesh (the Elephant God), who is the Hindu patron of arts and sciences is having an influence on the populace.  Then again it might be another of the Hindu Gods or any number of them for that matter (there are over 300 million Gods recognized by Hindus).  But I think the primary influence is on the sciences (broadly speaking) because the people are going to school, getting good educations and then going to work.

Known for its huge outsourcing capabilities (as the recipient), it is not just call centers that are helping with economic growth.  Entrepreneurs seem to flourish in the laissez faire environment the government encourages.  In fact it seems they are pampered by the government.  But success is not an unusual story.

Not just little guys either.

Tata Motors, for example,  is well known globally and is most famous for the Nano –  a car that will sell for $2000 and get 62 mpg!  Think of what that will do for India productivity!  Hey, how soon can we import those little suckers??

The technology segment in India is big with a number of significant players and is growing daily thanks to the millions of programmers, web designers and other ‘technophiles’ being cranked by the excellent colleges and universities.  And then there are the outstanding hospitals and health care professionals that make India a prime destination for medical tourists seeking everything from transplants to knee and hip replacements.  At a fraction of the cost of the same care in developed countries.

India seems to have missed much of the trauma of the world-wide recession.  The Bombay Sensex market has doubled since the lows in March.  Unlike China and Russia the increase seems justified.  Indians, at least those that can afford to, are spending and don’t seem worried about the future.  Those that can’t join the consumer crowd are seeing the opportunities and working to get their children educated so that future generations will move up the economic ladder.

The opportunities in India are immense.  Infrastructure is not good and the government can spend decades and Billions of $$ bringing them into the 21st century.  That will create millions of jobs, require boatloads of engineers, architects and other professionals. The net result: a more efficient, educated and capable population.

This potential is not being lost on the government.  The Prime Minister, Dr. Manhoman Singh, the first Sikh in the office, seems to be a genuine leader who has the vast population in mind.  And it is no wonder given his history.  He was born into a village with no electricity and had to study by candlelight.  Yet, he went on to graduate from college.  He then went to England where he graduated from both Oxford and Cambridge.  As an economist with a Ph.D. he seems the perfect person to help India move forward.  Not too liberal and not too conservative.  He is putting the government’s resources to work.

The efforts are working.

The GDP of India is about that of Russia but there is a big difference besides the fact that it is still growing — India has no significant oil reserves and must rely and true manufactured exports and the skills of their work force.  But there are advantages in those differences . . . those 1.1 billion people provide an unlimited workforce and the life expectancy is ten years more for men than in Russia.  That means an added ten years of wisdom and experience–not a small thing for a nation growing as fast as India.

Then there is the fact that India is a true (and incredibly complex but workable) democracy.  The same 1.1 billion people make elections a challenge and then there are the hundreds of political parties.  Indians have been forced to learn how to compromise and resolve differences.  It is the only way to get things done there!  Americans could learn from them, believe me.  Their elections take about a month as polls are moved about the country . . . and they don’t have two years of preliminary electioneering either (another lesson for us).

I think India is for real.  It belongs in the BRIC but maybe only for another ten or so years.  I just don’t think that their progressive government will allow a damaging slow-down.  In the not too distant future India will be numbered among the ‘developed nations.’   Hopefully that progress will include losing the harmful vestiges of the cold war and a much improved Indian-American partnership will be the result.

I think it is cool!

Thanks to flickr’s exfordy for the pic

Tags: BRICs, economy, India, Monmohan Singh, nano, Tata motors